Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.900990 2.175702 2.477839 2.835069 3.246280 3.705245 4.256996
2025-06-29 1.449040 1.810439 2.245358 2.808540 3.520429 4.392894 5.547225
2025-07-06 1.188176 1.575049 2.069878 2.751626 3.670512 4.871729 6.570479
2025-07-13 1.084600 1.509856 2.081942 2.911901 4.092243 5.721211 8.158233
2025-07-20 0.958981 1.391643 1.999241 2.920493 4.292421 6.276278 9.392324
2025-07-27 0.882815 1.329902 1.982530 3.012339 4.611357 7.023959 10.985896
2025-08-03 0.797056 1.241601 1.913442 3.012352 4.784269 7.562644 12.313678
2025-08-10 0.720537 1.157380 1.838956 2.991281 4.915170 8.041242 13.591613
2025-08-17 0.649111 1.072589 1.753046 2.939275 4.984870 8.420800 14.739366
2025-08-24 0.607061 1.030772 1.731162 2.988778 5.226389 9.107684 16.493260
2025-08-31 0.569741 0.992598 1.710558 3.036392 5.466593 9.813144 18.358522
2025-09-07 0.526396 0.939322 1.658171 3.020932 5.589433 10.317533 19.903400
2025-09-14 0.473906 0.868577 1.575108 2.954461 5.636884 10.737282 21.443193
2025-09-21 0.431335 0.812220 1.513632 2.924457 5.756862 11.323383 23.430175
2025-09-28 0.390560 0.754314 1.442197 2.865197 5.809139 11.778455 25.206018
2025-10-05 0.380944 0.755262 1.482826 3.032373 6.339778 13.267968 29.410867
2025-10-12 0.354745 0.720222 1.448536 3.041336 6.539289 14.088020 32.254033
2025-10-19 0.339886 0.706513 1.455445 3.137148 6.936851 15.384638 36.383659
2025-10-26 0.317344 0.674242 1.420276 3.137161 7.120642 16.227100 39.561648
2025-11-02 0.295085 0.640188 1.377624 3.115180 7.250646 16.961300 42.584215
2025-11-09 0.272362 0.602746 1.323674 3.060928 7.297547 17.504189 45.204190
2025-11-16 0.259798 0.586714 1.315507 3.112569 7.605798 18.719733 49.768850
2025-11-23 0.248030 0.571268 1.306998 3.162240 7.915247 19.978445 54.649978